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different. i got to help you this earnings season. i want to offer you a new way to use earnings season. day traders hijack a lot of the thinking. you're not trying to game the giving quarter. it's become so difficult to predict. and often the initial moves aren't even accurate because of the press conference or because something nasty just occurred in the overall market because of europe or something involved in the election. in other words, other than for those who are shorting or going long stocks ahead of the quarter, these earnings reports need a context to make you money. they can't be relied upon anymore because they aren't as predictive of future behaviors as they once were. they are a piece of the puzzle, a part of the mosaic. they are only one of very important parts of what predicts where a stock will go over the intermediate term. it is a teaching show. because i want you to know the metrics i'm using to pick stocks i talk about and recommend here you can follow along at cnbc.com. i want you to listen to these conference calls or read them in the transcripts. give you an opinion
say the central bank likely to hold off until after the federal reserve is due to meet. joining us for more is global chief officer of global equities. and head of japanese research at jpmorgan securities. i suppose the question is whether this contraction here in the third quarter will be followed by another one in the fourth. >> it looks quite likely. you've got bad news on exports continuing and you've got on on top of that now a contraction in public spending beginning to come through. the boost we got after the weak construction from the disaster, that's now bapeaking out. so public demand and economic demand likely to drag us. >> and how much is domestic relying on government support? >> the domestic private side is actually doing really differencely okay. one data point here, you find that mortgage lending is actually growing now for six or seven consecutive months and that shows you that they're opening their purse spritrings little bit. but overall you're really looking at slight contraction in the economy. >> what extra pressure does this put on the government and the ban
.1 million barrels a day. impact of hurricane sandy in the u.s., reduced, as well. crude oil supply dipped to a nine month low. so the demand being cut, patrick armstrong is where us, managing partner at investment managers. but that's clearly because of global weakness -- well, economic weakness in europe and hurricane impact. >> definitely. year over year, oil demand is up. we've had very weak economy in europe. not much growth in the united states. but i think that's the trend we'll be playing out for the next few years. >> oil 110 at the moment. is that a fair price? >> there's premium built in because of geopolitical risks. i think premium is probably justifiable. you look at wti at $23 discount to where breptd is. that's not sustainable in the long time, but given inventory levels, that will stay. >> do you keep your trade on oil? >> we have neutral position, but we're short the front month. respe respect. we make money by rolling the contracts the other way around. we're long oil in the 12 months forward rolling in to the 13th month and we end up with little more oil with that strat
the central bank says it has to do more to show it's serious about stimulating growth. and in the u.s., consumers filled up their shopping carts. early estimates show sales up 13% over the lost holiday weekend. >>> welcome to the start of a fresh trading week. kelly will be back tomorrow. catalonia voters have handed the majority to the separatists, but not necessarily the ones you thought. we'll assess the impact. and investors worry among protests over the egyptian president's attempt to increase his power base. and how much would it cost you to buy all items in the song 12 days of christmas? pnc wealth management will tell us why it's a lot more than you might think. plus shoppers hitting the net today, the year's biggest day for online purchases. we'll asset how much cash shoppers have left over after black friday's billion dollar be in an sa. bonanza. we have some confident data out of italy. november consumer confidence 84.8. that is a record low. we've had protests, as well. they're gathering in brussels to try to hammer out a deal on the greek deficit. prime minister says they
Search Results 0 to 3 of about 4